Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.138938 0.202392 0.275571 0.363988 0.465983 0.578295 0.709773
2026-01-25 0.058060 0.130760 0.231222 0.367974 0.539962 0.741857 0.990398
2026-02-01 0.018686 0.079405 0.183108 0.340409 0.551945 0.811565 1.141668
2026-02-08 0.001945 0.041927 0.138507 0.305114 0.545003 0.851865 1.253237
2026-02-15 NaN 0.024008 0.115877 0.293940 0.564337 0.920686 1.395913
2026-02-22 NaN 0.015386 0.106282 0.299938 0.605469 1.016328 1.571254
2026-03-01 NaN 0.008015 0.093184 0.296685 0.631271 1.090628 1.718983
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002324 0.075113 0.279992 0.634447 1.133007 1.824869
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001666 0.078554 0.304850 0.701277 1.262065 2.042876
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001202 0.082392 0.330481 0.769491 1.393353 2.264279
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000473 0.080943 0.344533 0.819354 1.499459 2.453221
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000491 0.088741 0.378784 0.901688 1.650939 2.701887
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000236 0.091665 0.404077 0.972670 1.790760 2.940970
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.084852 0.407206 1.008368 1.882389 3.118488
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.065992 0.378313 0.989615 1.896192 3.192492
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.046560 0.340807 0.952927 1.882327 3.228199
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037923 0.328948 0.958360 1.927679 3.341873
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035514 0.335320 0.995778 2.019564 3.518285
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.030579 0.331864 1.015025 2.084609 3.658410
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.022639 0.314103 1.006825 2.108421 3.742155
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.025858 0.340540 1.081309 2.255647 3.994541
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.029298 0.367738 1.157279 2.405234 4.250383
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.029662 0.382627 1.210308 2.520768 4.459990